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Tag:Minnesota
Posted on: September 28, 2011 3:52 pm
 

Week 5 pix by JR -- the Real Expert rebounds

When I pick a game that is so off, it makes me realize that I'm no expert. I picked Tulane +10 at Duke. The Green Wave were never in it, losing 48-27. Please keep this in mind, if you're playing my suggestions.

Please, don't bet the house and don't try to get it all back in one swoop. That's the biggest mistake by any gambler and why the house easily makes money.

I did go 2-1 in my top plays, however, nailing the over in Florida-Kentucky and winning on K-State, which beat Miami as a 12-point underdog. That makes me 7-5 on the season.

Against the experts, I was 11-6. Jerry Hinnen leads the group with an astounding 50-27 mark. I'm second among the experts at 46-31.

I need to admit I didn't study as much this week with the Jewish holiday starting Wednesday night.

On to Week 5

SATURDAY
No. 16 South Florida -2.5 at Pittsburgh
Minnesota +20.5 at No. 19 Michigan
At No. 24 Illinois -6.5 vs. Northwestern
No. 14 Texas A&M -3.5 vs. No. 18 Arkansas (At Arlington)
Kentucky +29.5 at No. 1 LSU

At No. 4 Boise State -27.5 vs. Nevada
At N.C. State +11.5 vs. No. 21 Georgia Tech
Auburn +10.5 at No. 10 South Carolina
Bowling Green +20.5 at No. 22 West Virginia
No. 15 Baylor -3.5 at Kansas State

At No. 20 TCU -11.5 vs. Southern Methodist
No. 13 Clemson +7.5 at No. 11 Virginia Tech
No. 17 Texas -10.5 at Iowa State
Ball State +37.5 at No. 2 Oklahoma -37.5
No. 3 Alabama -5.5 at No. 12 Florida

No. 8 Nebraska +9.5 at No. 7 Wisconsin
At No. 25 Arizona State -17.5 vs. Oregon State
At No. 6 Stanford -20.5 vs. UCLA

---------------------------------
TOP HANDICAP PLAYS (All games Saturday)
Cincinnati -14.5 at Miami (Ohio)
OVER 56.5 No. 8 Nebraska at No. 7 Wisconsin
Idaho +16 at Virginia

-----------------------------------
------

WEEK 4 HANDICAPPING (2-1; 7-5 overall)
Wins
Kansas State +12.5 in a 28-24 win at Miami
OVER 43 in Florida 48, Kentucky 10

Loss
Tulane +10 in a 48-27 loss at Duke 

A Happy & Healthy New Year to all those who celebrate!

Posted on: August 31, 2011 11:14 pm
 

Week 1 pix by JR -- the Real Expert rebounds

The new season is less than 24 hours away. How freaking awesome is that?

And how awesome is it that CBSSports.com's Experts are now picking against the spread?!

It's about time, right? I agreed with many of your past complaints. "Yea, you guys are real experts. It's real tough to pick Florida over Western Carolina State A&M.

I'm all for picking against the spread, but a wise player knows you can't play every single game. You have to pick your spots. Unfortunately, I didn't do too well at that, going 19-23-1 last season.

But let's not forget my Underdog moneyline strategy during the bowl season was a positive 112.8 units.

This season I'll play along -- here on the message board -- with the 2011 experts, which feature some fresh faces, including new Senior Writer Brett McMurphy -- an excellent addition to the CBSSports.com team.

It will be interesting to see how many of the six experts break .500. I'm going to say none ... not when it comes to picking every Top-25 game.

I will include my top plays each week. Could be one, could be more, could be none. You have to pick your spots and I plan to beat that ugly 19-23-1 showing from 2010.

So on to Week 1.
First team listed is my pick

THURSDAY
UNLV +35.5 at No. 11 Wisconsin -- look for backdoor cover while UW plays third-stringers
-- Top handicap play here: Over of 56 -- I'm going to ride UW overs until it kills me this season

No. 20 Mississippi State -27.5 at Memphis -- notice all the experts like the Bulldogs -- that means guaranteed Memphis cover, right?

FRIDAY
At Baylor +5.5 vs. No. 14 TCU -- wouldn't surprise me if Baylor wins
Youngstown State +34.5 at No. 17 Michigan State

SATURDAY
At No. 1 Oklahoma -24.5 vs. Tulsa
Kent State +36.5 vs. No. 2 Alabama
No. 4 LSU -2.5 vs. No. 3 Oregon (at Arlington) -- Rut roh, looks like I'm the only LSU backer here
No. 19 Georgia +3.5 vs. No. 5 Boise State (At Atlanta)
La.-Monroe +29.5 at No. 6 Florida State

San Jose State +28.5 at No. 7 Stanford
At No. 9 Oklahoma State -37.5 vs. La.-Lafayette
At No. 10 Nebraska -35.5 vs. Chattanooga
East Carolina +20.5 vs. No. 12 South Carolina (At Charlotte)
At No. 13 Virginia Tech -25.5 vs. Appalachian State

Missouri State +40.5 at No. 15 Arkansas
At No. 16 Notre Dame -10.5 vs. South Florida
At No. 18 Ohio State -33.5 vs. Akron
At No. 21 Missouri -16.5 vs. Miami (Ohio)
Florida Atlantic +34.5 at No. 22 Florida

Utah State +21.5 at No. 23 Auburn
Minnesota +21.5 at No. 25 USC

SUNDAY
At No. 8 Texas A&M -15.5 vs. SMU
Marshall +20.5 at No. 24 West Virginia

----------------

TOP HANDICAP PLAYS
Thursday: OVER 56 UNLV at No. 11 Wisconsin
Saturday: Middle Tennessee +17.5 at Purdue
Monday:  At Maryland +5.5 vs. Miami

Posted on: November 24, 2010 4:27 pm
Edited on: November 24, 2010 4:30 pm
 

Week 13 pix by JR -- the Real Expert

I went 17-3 in Week 12. My losses were Iowa (over Ohio State), Miami (over Va. Tech) and San Diego State (over Utah).

The Hawkeyes should have stuck to the power run game, but I'll take a Buckeyes victory any day … even if I picked against them.

My overall record is now 206-64, but with Chip Patterson going 18-2, I lost another game in the standings to him and trail the leader by five games.

Overall standings for the Experts: Chip 211-59, Darst 207-63, me 206-64, Jacobi 201-69, Dodd 200-70 & Horowitz 195-75. I don't know if I can catch Chip to successfully defend my title, but getting past Darst shouldn’t be a problem.


Note: My original Week 12 post had me picking Northwestern (over Illinois) and Utah (over SDSU), but I audibled and posted my changes before those games started.

On to Week 13

THURSDAY
No. 17 Texas A&M 35, Texas 29 (Play the over of 47½)

FRIDAY
No. 1 Oregon 45, No. 20 Arizona 23
No. 9 Alabama 33, No. 2 Auburn 27 (Lay the 4½)
No. 3 Boise State 49, No. 19 Nevada 35
No. 16 Nebraska over Colorado
Pittsburgh over West Virginia

SATURDAY
No. 4 TCU over New Mexico (Play the over of 43½)
No. 5 Wisconsin over Northwestern (Play the over of 57½)
No. 12 Arkansas 33, over No. 6 LSU 32 (Play the over of 54½)
No. 7 Stanford over Oregon State
No. 8 Ohio State 45, Michigan 21 (Does RichRod get fired afterward?)

No. 14 Oklahoma 38, No. 10 Oklahoma State 33
Penn State 30, No. 11 Michigan State 20 (Take the 1½)
No. 13 Virginia Tech over Virginia
No. 15 Missouri over Kansas
No. 18 South Carolina over Clemson

Maryland over No. 21 North Carolina State
No. 22 Florida State over Florida
BYU over No. 23 Utah
No. 24 Iowa over Minnesota
Mississippi 28, No. 25 Mississippi State 27

Georgia over Georgia Tech
Notre Dame 28, USC 24

Additional handicapping suggestion
Play over of 53½ in Indiana at Purdue

WEEK 12 HANDICAPPING (2-1-1)

Wins: Over of 48 (closed at 51) in Michigan State 35, Purdue 31; Taking Mississippi +15 (close at 14½) in LSU 43, Ole Miss 36
Loss: Over of 60½ in Nevada 52, New Mexico State 6
Push: Taking Iowa +3 in OSU 20, Iowa 17

Unfortunately, I called off playing Utah -2½, so the 2-1-1 showing makes me 16-19-1 on the year.

Happy Thanksgiving, all.

Posted on: November 3, 2010 10:58 pm
Edited on: November 3, 2010 11:02 pm
 

Week 10 pix by JR -- the Real Expert

I went 16-5 in Week 9, but it will go down as 15-5 since the experts didn't pick last Tuesday's obvious Boise State win over La. Tech.

That makes me 160-44 on the season. I'm now three games back of Chip Patterson, who went 17-3.

Overall standings:  Chip 163-41, me 160-44, Darst 158-46, Jacobi 157-47, Dodd 153-51 & Horowitz 147-57.

I lost on USC (to Oregon), FSU (to N.C. State), Miami (to Virginia), Texas (to Baylor) and Georgia (to Florida).

Now to Week 10's picks

THURSDAY
No. 20 Virginia Tech over Georgia Tech

SATURDAY
No. 1 Oregon over Washington
No. 2 Boise State over Hawaii
No. 3 Auburn over Chattanooga (Total joke of scheduling)
No. 6 Utah 20, No. 4 TCU 17 (Play the under of 52)
No. 5 Alabama 24, No. 12 LSU 16

No. 7 Wisconsin over Purdue
No. 9 Nebraska over Iowa State
No. 10 Stanford 35, No. 13 Arizona 27
No. 11 Oklahoma over Texas A&M (Lay the 3 points – the line should be 10-plus)
No. 14 Missouri over Texas Tech (Lay the 4 points)

No. 15 Iowa over Indiana
No. 16 Michigan State over Minnesota
South Carolina 31, No. 17 Arkansas 27
No. 19 Oklahoma State 38, No. 22 Baylor 33 (Play the under of 73)
Clemson over No. 23 N.C. State

No. 24 Florida State over North Carolina (Take the 10½ points)
No. 25 Nevada over Idaho

Michigan over Illinois
Air Force over Army
Texas over Kansas State

WEEK 9 HANDICAPPING (0-1)
I suggested the over in Nebraska 31, Missouri 17 (closed at 55½).
Sorry. Can't win 'em all ... but notice, I have five suggestions with the big play on the Sooners.

Posted on: October 26, 2010 2:45 pm
 

Week 9 picks by JR -- the Real Expert

Boy, did last Saturday's Northwestern-Michigan State game irk me. I really thought the 'Cats would win and upset the No. 8 Spartans. NU fumbled at the 1 in the first quarter and blew a 17-0 lead. MSU took its first lead on a TD with 2:00 left.

But how about another top team (Oklahoma) going down. None of the so-called experts picked Mizzou … nor did they/we pick the Badgers to win in Iowa City.

For Week 8, I went 17-5, losing on OU, NU, Iowa, West Virginia (to Syracuse) and Texas (to Iowa State -- how did this possibly happen?).

I'm 145-39 on the season, remaining one game back of Chip Patterson, who also went 17-5. I passed J. Darin Darst, who went 15-7, and Dennis Dodd, who crashed & burned at 12-10.

Overall standings: Chip 146-38; me 145-39, Darst 144-40, Dodd & Adam Jacobi 141-43 & Jay Horowitz 133-51 … And they kicked me out?!?!?!

On to Week 9
TUESDAY
No. 2 Boise State over Louisiana Tech

THURSDAY
No. 16 Florida State 33, North Carolina State 27

SATURDAY
No. 24 USC 48, No. 1 Oregon 44
No. 3 Auburn over Mississippi
No. 4 TCU over UNLV
No. 18 Iowa 30, No. 5 Michigan State 20
No. 14 Nebraska 44, No. 7 Missouri 30 (Play the over of 55)

No. 8 Utah over Air Force
No. 10 Ohio State over Minnesota
No. 11 Oklahoma over Colorado
No. 13 Stanford over Washington
No. 15 Arizona over UCLA

No. 17 South Carolina over Tennessee
No. 19 Arkansas over Vanderbilt
No. 20 Oklahoma State over Kansas State
No. 22 Miami over Virginia
No. 23 Mississippi State over Kentucky
Texas over No. 25 Baylor

Georgia over Florida (Who would have thought neither would be ranked at this point?)
Central Florida over East Carolina
Texas A&M over Texas

WEEK 8 HANDICAPPING (4-0)
I suggested lay the points in Ohio State 49, Purdue 0 (closed at 24)
 & overs in
Michigan State 35, Northwestern 27 (closed at 51.5)
Stanford 38, Washington State 28 (closed at 64.5)
Nebraska 51, Oklahoma State 41 (closed at 58.5)

I only like one play for the upcoming week (the over in Nebraska-MIzzou). If anything else hits me before Saturday, I'll post below.

Interesting facts: The Longhorns were laying 21, making the Cyclones a nice +975. The Mountaineers were favored by 14 against the Orange.

Posted on: October 14, 2010 6:37 pm
 

Week 7 pix by JR -- the Real Expert

Yep, I picked South Carolina last week. I was off on the score – I said 20-17 – but I still nailed it when calling for the No. 1 team in the country to go down.

None of the so-called experts had South Carolina winning. This must be why they kicked me, the defending champion, out of their club. They were sick and tired of me embarrassing them every week. Did Dennis Dodd really pick Kansas State last week? KSU lost to Nebraska 48-13. Ouch!

Stick to reporting Dennis. Avoid the predictions, will ya?

However, I did drop the ball on Arizona (to Oregon State), Florida (to LSU), Miami (to FSU), Michigan (to MSU) and my upset call of Texas A&M (to Arkansas).

So I went 17-5 in Week 6, making me 114-24 on the year. That leave me in second all alone, one game back of Facts & Rumors blogger Chip Patterson, who had an impressive 18-4 showing, beating me on my A&M pick with Arkansas and my Michigan pick with MSU.

Now to Week 7

THURSDAY
No. 25 West Virginia over South Florida

SATURDAY
No. 1 Ohio State 33, No. 18 Wisconsin 16
No. 3 Boise State over San Jose State
No. 4 TCU over BYU (play the over of 48.5)
No. 5 Nebraska 31, Texas 17
No. 6 Oklahoma over Iowa State

No. 7 Auburn 28, No. 12 Arkansas 27
No. 8 Alabama over Mississippi
No. 9 LSU over McNeese State (this is just wrong, playing a team like this in October)
No. 10 South Carolina over Kentucky
No. 11 Utah over Wyoming

No. 13 Michigan State over Illinois
No. 15 Iowa over Michigan (I like the over of 53.5)
No. 15 Florida State over Boston College
No. 17 Arizona over Washington State
No. 19 Nevada over Hawaii (a small play on the under of 74)

Texas Tech over No. 20 Oklahoma State
Texas A&M over No. 21 Missouri
No. 22  Florida over Mississippi State (lay the 7.5)
No. 23 Air Force over San Diego State
Washington over No. 24 Oregon State

N.C. State over East Carolina
Syracuse over Pittsburgh
USC over Cal

MORE HANDICAPPING
I like (just a little) Minnesota-Purdue over of 51

WEEK 6 RECAP (17-5)
Losses mentioned in lead-in graphs, but for handicapping purposes, I went 1-0, suggesting to take the 22 points in Minnesota-Wisconsin. That puts me on a six-game win streak!!!!

Posted on: October 7, 2010 12:04 pm
 

Week 6 pix by JR the Real Expert

Dropped three games last week, going 15-3. That makes me 97-19 on the season, remaining tied with J. Darin Darst; Chip Patterson goes 16-2 last week to join us. Meanwhile, CBSSports.com Senior Writer Dennis Dodd still leads among the so-called experts, but he lost five games last week to fall to 98-18.

It's only a matter of time till I go sprinting past these guys – starting with my upset special in Columbia, S.C.

My Week 6 picks

THURSDAY
No. 7 Nebraska 35, Kansas State 23

FRIDAY
No. 22 Oklahoma State over La.-Lafayette

SATURDAY
No. 19 South Carolina 20, No. 1 Alabama 17
No. 2 Ohio State over Indiana
No. 3 Oregon over Washington State
No. 4 Boise State over Toledo
No. 5 TCU over Wyoming

No. 8 Auburn over Kentucky
No. 9 Arizona over Oregon State
No. 10 Utah over Iowa State
Texas A&M over No. 11 Arkansas
No. 14 Florida 17, No. 12 LSU 16 (Yep, I'm predicting a Tigers safety)

No. 13 Miami 30, No. 23 Florida State 24
No. 16 Stanford over USC
No. 18 Michigan 35, No. 17 Michigan State 33
No. 20 Wisconsin over Minnesota (22 points? Too many for this rivaly. Take it)
No. 21 Nevada over San Jose State

No. 24 Missouri over Colorado
No. 25 Air Force over Colorado State

Georgia over Tennessee
North Carolina over Clemson
Cal over UCLA

WEEK 5 RECAP (15-3)
Lost on USC to Washington (Trojan fans can't be too happy), N.C. State to Va. Tech (I did say take the 4 points) & Boston College to Notre Dame (I said take the 3 points).

As for the handicapping, I was on fire last week, going 5-0!!! (Why wasn’t I in Vegas???): I suggested taking the points with the Hokies & Irish mentioned above and I hit the overs in Oklahoma-Texas, MSU-Wisconsin & Michigan-IU. Unfortunately, there weren’t many things that caught my eye for Week 6, only liking the 22 points in Minnesota-Wisconsin.

Posted on: September 16, 2010 1:12 am
Edited on: September 16, 2010 1:16 am
 

Week 3 pix by JR -- the Real Expert

I went 18-5 in Week 2, losing on Tennessee (what was I thinking?), Va. Tech (again), Ga. Tech, UCLA & Army.
That  makes me 40-8, tied for the lead with so-called experts.
Now, on to Week 3

SATURDAY
No. 1 Alabama over Duke
No. 2 Ohio State over Ohio
No. 3 Boise State over Wyoming
No. 4 TCU over Baylor
No. 5 Oregon over Portland State (strength of schedule will hurt Oregon if it goes undefeated)

No. 6 Texas 30, Texas Tech 23
No. 7 Oklahoma over Air Force
No. 8 Nebraska 33,  Washington 30
No. 9 Iowa 31, over No. 24 Arizona 24
No. 10 Florida over Tennessee (I’m not getting sucked in by the Vols again)

No. 11 Wisconsin over Arizona State
Georgia over 27, No. 12 Arkansas 25
No. 13 South Carolina over Furman
No. 14 Utah over New Mexico
No. 15 LSU over Mississippi State

No. 16 Auburn 38, Clemson 24
No. 18 USC over Minnesota (Play the over of 53.5)
No. 19 Stanford over Wake Forest
No. 20 Michigan over UMass
No. 21 West Virginia over Maryland

No. 22 Penn State over Kent State
No. 23 Houston over UCLA (Play the over of 60)
No. 25 Oregon State over Louisville

OTHERS
Cal over Nevada (Friday)
North Carolina over Ga. Tech
Florida State over BYU

WEEK 2 RECAP (18-5)
I was way wrong on my Handicapping suggestion of “take the 10 points” in Vandy vs. LSU (27-3). I suck!

 
 
 
 
The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com